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Prediction for CME (2025-03-19T02:24:00-CME-001)CME Observed Time: 2025-03-19T02:24ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/37902/-1 CME Note: The arrival of this CME was not clearly detected at L1. CME Note: Bright streamer blowout CME to the NE in SOHO LASCO C2, C3, and STEREO A COR2 imagery. The CME is visibly wider in STEREO A COR2 imagery than in SOHO imagery. The source of this CME appears to be a complex series of eruptions beginning with an eruption near N05E05 starting around 2025-03-19T00:39Z. This eruption may have triggered additional instability of nearby magnetic field line foot points, which may be associated with the streamer itself. Dimming is clearly seen to the east of the initial eruption location starting around 2025-03-19T06:00Z. It is also around this time that the CME appears to begin to speed up in the SOHO field of view with a more clear/defined front appearing around this time as well. CME was not detected at Earth. Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: ---- Predicted Arrival Time: 2025-03-22T17:30Z Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 4.0 - 6.0 Prediction Method: Median of all Methods Prediction Method Note: This is the auto generated median of all submitted predictions for this CME.Lead Time: 55.30 hour(s) Difference: ----- Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-03-20T10:12Z |
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